全書分為5個段落,原文書目大約如下:
Part 1: Two systems
-- the characters of the story, attention & effort, lazy controller, associative machine, cognitive ease, norms/surprises/ causes, a machine for jumping to conclusions, how judgments happen, answering an easier question.
Part 2: Heuristics and biases
-- law of small numbers, anchors, science of availability, tom W's specialty, less is more, causes trump statistics, regression to the mean, taming intuitive predictions.
Part 3: Over confidence
-- illusion of understanding, validity, intuition vs formulas, expert intuition, the outside view, the engine of capitalism.
Part 4: Choices
-- bernoulli's errors, prospect theory, endowment effect; bad events, fourfold pattern; rate events, risk policies, keeping score, reversals, frames and reality.
Part 5: Two selves
-- life as a story; experienced well-being; thinking about life.
Part 1: Two systems
-- the characters of the story, attention & effort, lazy controller, associative machine, cognitive ease, norms/surprises/ causes, a machine for jumping to conclusions, how judgments happen, answering an easier question.
Part 2: Heuristics and biases
-- law of small numbers, anchors, science of availability, tom W's specialty, less is more, causes trump statistics, regression to the mean, taming intuitive predictions.
Part 3: Over confidence
-- illusion of understanding, validity, intuition vs formulas, expert intuition, the outside view, the engine of capitalism.
Part 4: Choices
-- bernoulli's errors, prospect theory, endowment effect; bad events, fourfold pattern; rate events, risk policies, keeping score, reversals, frames and reality.
Part 5: Two selves
-- life as a story; experienced well-being; thinking about life.
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